Dade County Goes Republican For the First Time Since 1988
In a stunning performance, President-elect Donald Trump flipped several blue-leaning and blue-heavy counties in Florida in his column since 2020.
Ultimately, per unofficial results, Trump won the Sunshine State by 13.3 points, and a total of 1.44 million votes, in a historic margin.
The most decisive flip for Trump was Miami-Dade County, which he won by 11.5 points.
For comparison, President Joe Biden won that county in 2020 by seven points, and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton won it by 30 points.
With a heavy Hispanic and Cuban population, the demographic shift in Trump’s favor fueled him to win the county by approximately the same margin as Gov. Ron DeSantis in 2022.
Trump also flipped Osceola County, which has a heavy Puerto Rican population and is situated just south of Orlando – a deep-blue area.
In 2020, Biden won the county by 14 points; Trump won it in 2024 by around 1.5 points.
Trump is up 11 points in the heavily Latino Miami-Dade country with 80% of the votes counted.
Biden won it by 7 points in 2020. Hillary won it by 30 points in 2016: pic.twitter.com/PnBXPQTXwU
— Glenn Greenwald (@ggreenwald) November 6, 2024
Trump additionally flipped other “purple” counties – including Duval, Hillsborough and Pinellas – all won by Biden in 2020.
His most decisive victory of the three was Pinellas, which he took by nearly 5.5 points after losing it by just 0.2 points in 2020.
Duval, situated on top of Jacksonville, was won narrowly by Trump with a margin of 1.5 points. Biden won it in 2020 by four points.
And finally, Trump flipped Hillsborough – situated on the city of Tampa – with a margin of four points. Biden won it by seven points.
The president-elect got very close in Palm Beach County, losing it by a razor-thin 0.74 points. For comparison, Biden won it by a decisive 13 points in 2020.
The New York Times map showcasing the “shift” since the prior election has covered the map of Florida entirely in red, indicating Vice President Kamala Harris did not out-perform Biden in a single region of the state:
Trump had ultimately made gains in “swing” counties, deep-red counties and deep-blue counties.
Florida GOP Sen. Rick Scott ran virtually identical to Trump in the state on margin. Scott also won the same amount of counties Trump did.
Final Florida’s Voice estimates indicate that state Republicans out-voted Democrats by party registration by 1,207,216 voters.
Assuming both Trump and Harris kept their bases relatively equally, that would signify Trump handily won independents.
